logoTrump Signal Index

Background & Context

Guides

Explainers on the key concepts driving Trump's market impact

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Explainer

The Hormuz Strait Explained: Why It's the World's Most Important Oil Chokepoint

About 20% of the world's oil passes through a stretch of water 33 kilometers wide. Here's why Hormuz matters so much — and what happens to markets when it's threatened.

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Explainer

What Is the IRGC? Iran's Revolutionary Guard and Its Role in Market Risk

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps controls Iran's most powerful military assets, its proxy network, and its nuclear program. Understanding the IRGC is essential to understanding Iran's market impact.

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Explainer

How the Trump Signal Index Works

The Trump Signal Index measures the real-time intensity of Trump's policy impact on global markets — from 0 (calm) to 100 (maximum chaos). Here's what the score means and how it's calculated.

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Explainer

Trump's Truth Social Posts: What They Mean for Markets

Trump doesn't send press releases. He posts on Truth Social — and those posts move markets. This guide explains how to read them, what patterns matter, and why timing is everything.

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Explainer

How to Read Trump's Market Signals: A Beginner's Guide

Trump's statements, posts, and policy moves don't just make headlines — they move markets. This guide explains the patterns, what to watch for, and how to separate signal from noise.

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Explainer

What Is DJT Stock? Trump Media & Technology Group Explained

DJT is the ticker for Trump Media & Technology Group — the company that owns Truth Social. It trades like no other stock on the market. Here's what it is, why it moves the way it does, and what it tells you about Trump's political fortunes.

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Explainer

Tariffs Explained: How Import Taxes Move Markets

Tariffs are the central tool of Trump's trade policy — and one of the biggest drivers of market volatility in his presidency. This guide explains what tariffs are, how they work, and why markets react the way they do.

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Explainer

What Is the War Powers Act? The Law That Limits Presidential War-Making

The War Powers Act forces presidents to get congressional approval for extended military conflicts — or withdraw US forces within 60 days. Here's what it says, why it matters, and why it keeps coming up in the Iran war.

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Explainer

How US Sanctions Work: The Economic Weapon Behind Iran, Russia, and China Policy

Sanctions are one of the most powerful tools in US foreign policy — and one of the biggest drivers of market volatility. This guide explains what sanctions are, how they're imposed, and why they matter for markets.

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Explainer

What Is the VIX? Understanding the Market's Fear Index

The VIX measures how much volatility the market expects over the next 30 days. It spikes when fear spikes — and Trump's policy moves are one of the most reliable VIX triggers in modern markets. Here's what the VIX is, how to read it, and how it connects to the Trump Signal Index.

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